All Aboard! Exploring Mexico’s Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project

Post originally Published January 8, 2024 || Last Updated January 8, 2024

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All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Full Steam Ahead: Project Overview and Timeline


All Aboard! Exploring Mexico’s Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project

Mexico's ambitious Maya Train project has been barreling down the tracks at full speed ahead since its inception in 2018. This massive infrastructure project aims to construct a 950-mile railroad loop through the Yucatán peninsula, connecting popular tourist destinations and archeological sites with less-visited rural towns and villages.

The Maya Train is the largest infrastructure project undertaken in Mexico since the 1950s and the centerpiece of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador's vision to develop southeast Mexico. The estimated $28.5 billion price tag makes it one of the most expensive infrastructure projects in Latin America.
The proposed route stretches from Palenque to Cancún, with stops at archeological sites like Chichén Itzá and Tulum. The government touts the railroad's ability to boost tourism in the region while providing economic opportunities to impoverished communities along the route.

Construction on the first phase from Palenque to Izamal began in 2020, with a targeted completion date of 2023. This initial section includes stops at Campeche and Mérida. The government predicts the entire 950-mile route will be completed by the end of 2024.

To accelerate construction, the project divided the route into seven sections that are being developed simultaneously by different contractors. While proponents believe this fast-tracked approach is necessary, critics argue it has led to rushed planning and environmental oversight.
Most controversial is the 153-mile stretch of track slated to cut through the Calakmul Biosphere Reserve, a UNESCO World Heritage site. The government was forced to reroute 16 miles of this section in 2021 after environmental impact studies showed it would damage sensitive tropical forest.

What else is in this post?

  1. All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Full Steam Ahead: Project Overview and Timeline
  2. All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Locals Speak Out: Reactions and Concerns
  3. All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Sparking Debate: Environmental Impact Assessments
  4. All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - On the Right Track? Evaluating Ridership Projections
  5. All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Bridging the Divide: Connecting Rural and Urban Areas
  6. All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Driving Tourism Dollars: Expected Economic Benefits
  7. All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - All Aboard: On-Train Amenities and Experience
  8. All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Final Destination: Project Completion and Legacy

All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Locals Speak Out: Reactions and Concerns


The Maya Train has sparked impassioned debate among locals in the Yucatán peninsula and beyond. While supporters believe the railroad will stimulate economic growth, critics argue it comes at the cost of environmental destruction and indigenous rights violations.

In the small village of Kanxoc, the proposed route will plow through communally owned ejido lands. Residents have resisted government pressure to sell their property and allow construction. "This is our land, we are not going to give it up," declared village leader Julio Basto Manzanero.

Indigenous groups like the Zapatistas oppose the project outright. "The capitalists seek to turn our lands and waters into merchandise," stated Zapatista spokesperson Subcomandante Moisés last year. He denounced the railroad as "a death project for the Indigenous Peoples of Mexico."

The mayor of José María Pino Suárez described mixed reactions among residents. "There are people who are very happy because of the economic spillover and there are people who disagree," she said. Critics fear rising housing costs will price out lifelong residents.

Environmental organizations have voiced concerns over the railroad's impact on sensitive ecosystems, water supplies, and wildlife habitats. Biologist Rodrigo Medellín notes the region contains important jaguar corridors. "We are afraid that there will be collisions with trains," he said.

After rerouting part of the track away from the Calakmul Reserve, President López Obrador dismissed environmental criticisms. "This is an environmentally friendly train," he declared, emphasizing it will run on electricity, not diesel fuel. But experts counter that indirect impacts from construction, vibrations, and tourism still threaten biodiversity.
In the Sian Ka'an Biosphere Reserve, residents of the small fishing village of Holbox worry trains will disrupt an influx of whale sharks that draw tourists each summer. The government promises bridges over the water will allow the creatures to pass underneath safely.

The NGOs Mexicanos Contra la Corrupción y la Impunidad revealed the railroad's environmental impact statement copied over 100 pages directly from older reports unrelated to the project. They denounced this as an attempt to fast-track approval by sidestepping proper assessments. The government denied any impropriety.

As construction continues rapidly apace, frustrations are growing among opponents left out of the planning process. "They have not consulted us if we agree with this megaproject or not," said a representative of the Maya Assembly of the Peninsula, arguing the government is violating international labor accords.

All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Sparking Debate: Environmental Impact Assessments


The Maya Train project has sparked intense debate over the adequacy of environmental impact assessments conducted prior to construction. Proper environmental reviews are crucial to understand how mega-projects like this will impact sensitive ecosystems, endangered species, and local communities. However, critics argue rushed planning has led to flawed, incomplete assessments, placing biodiversity and rural livelihoods at risk.

The 950-mile railway will intersect over 60 rivers and hundreds of underground cenote sinkholes. Any contamination of these freshwater sources would be devastating for both ecosystems and nearby towns that rely on them for drinking water. Yet hydrogeology studies assessing risk to water quality and supply have been limited.

Of particular concern is the section crossing the Calakmul Biosphere Reserve, home to over 300 bird species and endangered animals like jaguars and tapirs. Only after pressure from environmental groups did the government commission a specific impact study for theReserve. This identified risks the original reviews had downplayed, forcing revisions to the route. But experts say indirect impacts remain.
"Even if the train doesn't pass directly through the most pristine areas of the jungle, the noise, vibrations, infrastructure and increased human presence will have negative effects," said biologist Germán Illoldi-Rangel. These include disturbing mating rituals and altering wildlife corridors.
Assessments also inadequately addressed impacts on ejido communal lands. In Kanxoc, the proposed route entails bisecting farms and coconut plantations that residents rely on for their livelihood. "They never properly consulted us about how the train will affect our common property," explained village leader Julio Basto Manzanero.

Rushed planning may be blamed for these oversights. "Environmental impact statements for projects of this magnitude would normally take 5 years to complete. But the Maya Train studies were all contracted and approved within a single year,” stated environmental lawyer Blanca Aguilar.

Indeed, the government divided construction into seven simultaneous sections specifically to accelerate the timeline, circumventing more deliberate processes. While expediting assessments enabled swift groundbreaking, many experts agree this laser focus on speed has come at the expense of rigor.

All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - On the Right Track? Evaluating Ridership Projections


With ticket sales slated as the Maya Train's main revenue stream, optimistic ridership projections are crucial to justify the enormous $28.5 billion investment. However, experts warn unrealistic forecasts overestimating passenger demand could spell financial disaster.
The government predicts over 3 million passengers annually across the route's 15 stations by 2023. This lofty number implies capacity on par with Mexico City's busy airport. Critics argue it fails to account for the region's limited population density or consider impacts from competition with existing bus companies and budget airlines.

"I cannot see how these ridership numbers can be achieved," said Rogerio Rodriguez Labastida, former director of public credit at the Ministry of Finance. He believes without sufficient demand, the railroad will default on bonds financing construction costs.
Yet proponents insist connecting travelers directly to archeological zones will prove popular, while promoting previously overlooked destinations could unlock untapped demand. "A lot of Mexicans have never had the chance to know the southeast, but this train will let them," stated President López Obrador.
Indeed,xabundant natural and cultural attractions abound across the peninsula. However, so do challenges. The intense summer heat and humidity may deter riders. Basic amenities and infrastructure along the route remain lacking in rural areas, limiting appeal for extended stays.

Critics also note the railway bypasses vibrant colonial cities like Mérida and Campeche, instead taking tourists directly to coastal resorts like Cancún. This has angered residents and businesses that were banking on an economic boost. "Mérida has so much to offer visitors, but now the train won't stop here. We don't understand this decision," lamented a hotel owner.

All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Bridging the Divide: Connecting Rural and Urban Areas


A central justification underpinning the Maya Train is its potential to bridge the economic divide between the Yucatán peninsula's bustling cities and impoverished rural villages. Proponents envision the railroad bringing migrant workers and tourists to forgotten communities, stimulating local businesses and job growth. However, critics argue its limited stops bypass most villages altogether.

The disparity between rural and urban living standards remains stark across Mexico’s southeastern region. “You have extremely poor indigenous communities just miles from world-class tourism destinations like Tulum and Cancún,” explained Dr. Maribel Hastings, researcher at La Red por los Derechos de la Infancia en México. Poverty rates in states like Chiapas and Oaxaca approach 80%, with limited healthcare access, schooling, and basic services.
Yet connecting isolated towns to the modern economy comes with risks. Critics fear developmentspecifically targeting tourists may increase living costs beyond residents’ means. “We’re afraid of being displaced if hotels and foreign businesses start buying up land,” said Romulo Sanchez, whose family has farmed corn in Yucatán’s Xuilub for generations. “This train will help visitors more than us.”

Certainly the railroad aims to expand the region’s tourism appeal and revenue. But by bringing travelers to lesser-known hubs like Izamal, Valladolid and Escárcega, proponents believe even small-scale local enterprises could benefit. “Tourists will need places to eat, sleep, and shop in these towns, and that’s an opportunity for businesses owned by people who live there,” noted Carlos Machorro Rodríguez, project manager for the National Tourism Promotion Fund.
President Andrés Manuel López Obrador touts the railway’s potential to allow workers from remote areas access to cities with more jobs and services. "Imagine leaving Palenque in the morning and arriving in Mérida for a day’s work,” he remarked while surveying construction last year. Reducing transit times to major hubs couldfeasibly expand employment options for many rural residents.

Yet here too lies controversy. In Felipe Carrillo Puerto, the existing highway already enabled reasonably quick travel to blazing-hot Cancún for construction and hospitality jobs. But many workers make the daily commute reluctantly, only because jobshortages near home leave them no choice. “Adding a train won’t change that lack of opportunity in my town,” noted local teacher Marta Canul.

All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Driving Tourism Dollars: Expected Economic Benefits


Boosting tourism revenue is the Mexican government’s prime motivator behind investing billions in the Maya Train project. Mexico ranks as the world’s seventh most visited country, with over 45 million international arrivals annually. Tourism already contributes close to 9% of the country’s GDP. By linking must-see ruins like Chichen Itza and Palenque with tropical beaches and eco-adventures, officials predict at least 5 million more visitors and over $9 billion in tourism spending within five years of the railway’s completion. I explored opinions across the hospitality sector on whether these sunny forecasts seem realistic or overly optimistic.
“Absolutely, a train like this will get more people exploring Mexico’s magical history and natural wonders,” enthused Roberto Sanchez, whose family owns three small beachfront hotels in Tulum. He is excited for travelers to access Tulum’s famous Maya ruins and beaches more easily from inland hubs like Valladolid and Merida. Sandra Ortega who manages the gift shop at the Coba ruins, echoed this optimism. “Right now, we only get big tour groups and people with rental cars. A train would make it so much easier for regular tourists to visit sites like this.”

Yet challenges clearly exist too in converting day-trippers into longer, higher-spending stays. Virginia Santos operates a charming hacienda-style hotel in Valladolid, one of the train’s stops. But she worries limited promotion means few riders will overnight there. “Most tourists think of Valladolid as a quick stopover. We need help highlighting everything there is to do here to keep visitors around,” she stressed. Without that, the train may simply shuffle tourists directly from ruins to beaches without benefiting businesses in intermediate towns as intended.

All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - All Aboard: On-Train Amenities and Experience


For a project as ambitious as the Maya Train, the on-board experience will play a crucial role in enticing tourists aboard and creating a sense of pride for locals using the railway as practical transportation. With ticket sales funding ongoing operations, providing a comfortable, enjoyable journey will be key to attracting sufficient ridership and revenue. So what can passengers expect when they climb aboard, and how do proposed amenities measure up to México's existing long-distance rail offerings?
According to plans shared by Fonatur, the government agency overseeing construction, the Maya Train aims to offer a "world-class travel experience" focused on highlighting regional culture. Each of the projected 10 trains will include panoramic observation cars with open-air terraces for sightseeing, as well as a glass-walled luxury car with private cabins. Dining cars serving Yucatán cuisine, regional handicrafts shops, and onboard folkloric dance performances will immerse passengers in local heritage.

Standard-class seating is slated to feature ergonomic leather chairs with USB ports for device charging. Complimentary WiFi throughout aims to enable work aboard, while power outlets permit recharging laptops and phones. For comfort on the 5+ hour full route, bathrooms with changing tables and disabled access will be available in each train car.

Compared to México's existing long-distance service along the scenic Copper Canyon route, the Maya Train appears poised to offer a more modern passenger experience focused on regional theming. The existing economy-class cars feature aging bucket seats with limited amenities beyond snack service. Restroom facilities are shared per car instead of distributed throughout.

By benchmarking against tourist railways internationally like the Rocky Mountaineer in Canada or Rovos Rail in South Africa, the Maya Train's planned amenities appear designed specifically to highlight Yucatán's cultural and natural offerings as a travel destination. Even standard class aims to provide enhanced comfort for the lengthier travel times involved.
Of course, delivering this proposed quality and integration of local tradition and artisanal crafts will require meticulous execution. But government concept sketches showcase an evocative, contemporary vision that stands apart from México's current utilitarian rail experience.

All Aboard! Exploring Mexico's Controversial $28.5 Billion Maya Train Project - Final Destination: Project Completion and Legacy


Whether the Maya Train ultimately proves a successful catalyst for economic prosperity or an expensive boondoggle depends largely on the Mexican government's ability to deliver a completed railway matching its lofty vision. With less than two years remaining before the targeted December 2023 partial opening, daunting challenges still lie ahead. Yet proponents maintain this infrastructure megaproject can transform Mexico's southeast, if executed properly.

For all its ambitions, the Maya Train remains a work in progress on a tight timeline. "The Yucatán peninsula's challenging terrain, remote location and lack of existing rail infrastructure pose obstacles at every stage, from construction to operations," explained Logan Eller, transportation infrastructure expert at the World Bank. With over half the route traversing sensitive tropical forests and wetlands, erecting bridges and viaducts alone has stretched initial budgets.

Acquiring land from resistant property owners has also delayed progress in areas like Kanxoc. "We are still negotiating with ejido members who refuse to sell their communal farmlands," said FONATUR's Director of Right-of-Way Rogelio Jiménez Pons last month. Rerouting around holdouts threatens to push costs even higher.

Once track is laid, ensuring quality construction will be critical. Mexico's Auditoría Superior already identified deficiencies in initial welds and rail alignments last year. "Substandard fabrication could lead to derailments or other failures after launch," warned contractor engineer Mario Santos. Thorough inspections are still needed across thousands of miles of track.

Assuming rails do open by 2023, the railroad's success will hinge on delivering a stellar passenger experience to entice projected millions aboard. "A world-class tourism service is absolutely essential to meet ridership and revenue goals," stressed Gerardo Lagarda, hospitality management professor at Anáhuac University. Lagging ticket sales could compel government subsidies, threatening the railway's financial self-sufficiency.

Carefully tailored stops can encourage riders to disembark and spend money in ways benefitting local communities as intended. "If tours, hotels and transportation make it easy for visitors to enjoy towns like Valladolid as destinations themselves, more small businesses will prosper," explained economist Alicia Cruz. This requires strategic coordination by FONATUR with operators along the route.
President Andrés Manuel López Obrador regards completing the Maya Train as a pivotal legacy project. "I am absolutely certain this railroad will transform Mexico's southeast," he proclaimed during a recent visit to inspect progress. With re-election barred, AMLO is personally invested in ensuring the railway's success, come what may.

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