7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024

Post originally Published May 28, 2024 || Last Updated May 28, 2024

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7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Steady Growth Trajectory


Portugal's economy continues to demonstrate a steady growth trajectory, with a robust GDP expansion of 4.9% in 2022 outpacing the European average.

This growth is driven by strong domestic demand, investment, and exports, showcasing the country's economic diversification across key sectors like tourism, automotive, aerospace, and pharmaceuticals.

Despite facing some challenges in 2023, the new government forecasts an impressive 15% economic growth for Portugal in 2024.

This positive outlook is further supported by projections of declining public debt and a narrowing current account deficit, as well as moderating inflation rates.

Portugal's business-friendly environment, skilled workforce, and strategic location have made it an attractive destination for foreign investment, with the country also investing in digital infrastructure to position itself as a hub for startups and tech companies.

Portugal's economy grew by an impressive 2% in 2023, defying expectations and outpacing the Eurozone average.

This marked the country's third consecutive year of strong economic expansion.

The manufacturing sector in Portugal has experienced a resurgence, with output rising by 8% in This was largely driven by the automotive and aerospace industries, which have seen a significant influx of foreign investment.

Portugal's exports reached a record high in 2023, with the country's trade surplus hitting 5% of GDP.

This was driven by strong demand for Portuguese goods in key markets, such as Germany, France, and the United States.

The Portuguese government's decision to lower corporate tax rates to 18% in 2022 has paid dividends, with the country attracting a record number of foreign direct investments in 2023, particularly in the tech and renewable energy sectors.

Portugal's Lisbon region has emerged as a hub for startup innovation, with the city ranking among the top 5 European cities for venture capital investment in This has been fueled by the country's growing pool of highly skilled tech talent.

Surprisingly, despite the ongoing global economic uncertainty, Portugal's unemployment rate fell to a 15-year low of 2% in 2023, driven by strong job creation in the tourism, construction, and healthcare industries.

What else is in this post?

  1. 7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Steady Growth Trajectory
  2. 7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Resilient Domestic Demand
  3. 7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Investment Boost from Recovery Plan
  4. 7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Declining Public Debt Ratio
  5. 7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Tourism Revenue Rebound
  6. 7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Attractive Investment Destination

7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Resilient Domestic Demand


Portugal's domestic demand has been a key driver of the country's positive economic outlook in 2024.

Despite facing some global challenges, Portugal's economy demonstrated resilience, experiencing its strongest growth in 35 years in 2023 with a GDP expansion of 6.7%.

This growth was largely fueled by robust domestic demand and a rebound in the tourism sector, which generated sales revenue of approximately $33 billion.

While the economy experienced a slight deceleration in late 2022, it has maintained a modest growth rate, with GDP increasing by 1.6% in the first quarter of 2023.

Exports have also played a crucial role in Portugal's economic performance, contributing to the country's continued economic stability.

In 2023, Portugal's domestic demand grew by an unexpected 2%, defying predictions of a slowdown and contributing significantly to the country's robust economic expansion.

Household consumption in Portugal reached an all-time high in 2023, driven by a surge in consumer confidence and increased disposable incomes, despite the global inflationary pressures.

Portugal's retail sales volumes have consistently outpaced the Eurozone average in the past two years, with a 8% year-on-year increase in the first quarter of 2024, showcasing the resilience of domestic demand.

The Portuguese government's targeted tax cuts and incentives for businesses have played a crucial role in boosting domestic investment, which grew by 5% in 2023, outpacing the European Union average.

Surprisingly, the share of household savings in Portugal's GDP declined to a 10-year low in 2023, as consumers increased their spending amid improved economic sentiment and job security.

Portugal's real estate market has remained robust, with a 12% increase in residential property prices in 2023, driven by strong domestic demand, particularly in the Lisbon and Porto metropolitan areas.

Surprisingly, the Portuguese automotive industry, a key driver of the country's manufacturing sector, experienced a 15% surge in domestic sales in 2023, bucking the regional trend of declining car purchases.

7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Investment Boost from Recovery Plan


7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024

Portugal's recovery plan, worth €16.6 billion, is expected to provide a significant boost to investment in the country, driving growth and employment.

The plan is supported by the European Union and includes 6 reforms and 16 investments aimed at reducing Portugal's reliance on fossil fuels.

Additionally, Portugal has requested a share of its Brexit Adjustment Reserve, amounting to €813 million, and additional grants of €707 million to further bolster its recovery efforts.

Surprisingly, Portugal has managed to secure a share of the Brexit Adjustment Reserve, amounting to €813 million, which will be channeled into the country's recovery plan to further bolster investment.

Portugal's recovery plan also focuses on digitalization, with substantial investments in upgrading the country's broadband network and promoting the adoption of digital technologies across various sectors, including tourism and manufacturing.

Surprisingly, the recovery plan's investments in research and development are projected to drive a 20% increase in patent applications from Portuguese entities, further strengthening the country's innovation ecosystem.

The recovery plan's focus on upskilling and reskilling the Portuguese workforce is expected to create over 50,000 new jobs in the country's emerging industries, such as renewable energy and advanced manufacturing.

7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Declining Public Debt Ratio


Portugal's public debt ratio has been steadily declining, falling to 98.7% of GDP last year from over 112% in 2022.

The S&P ratings agency has upgraded Portugal's ratings to 'A-' due to this significant reduction in the government's debt-to-GDP ratio.

Experts project the debt ratio to continue dropping further, reaching 95.6% in 2024 and 91.5% in 2025, as the government remains focused on avoiding budget deficits.

Portugal's public debt ratio is expected to decline further to 95% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024, assuming the next government remains focused on avoiding a budget deficit.

The ratings agency S&P has upgraded Portugal's ratings to "A-" on the back of the declining debt.

The public debt ratio fell to 7% of GDP last year from over 112% in 2022, marking the fourth-biggest reduction in the euro area, while the bloc as a whole has seen its ratio increase by almost 7%.

Portugal's debt decline is seen as resilient to political uncertainty, with a projection of a sustained declining path driving the debt-to-GDP ratio down to 6% in 2024 and 5% in

The government plans to further slash one of Europe's heaviest public debt burdens and reach a debt-to-GDP ratio below that of Spain and France in

The European Commission also forecasts a steady decline in Portugal's public debt-to-GDP ratio, driven by primary balance surpluses and a favorable growth-interest rate differential.

Surprisingly, the declining public debt ratio has been achieved without compromising economic growth, as Portugal's GDP expanded by a robust 9% in 2022, outpacing the European average.

The country's finance minister sees further drops in public debt, with a target of reaching a debt ratio below that of Spain and France, a remarkable achievement for a nation that once struggled with high debt levels.

Interestingly, the S&P ratings upgrade to "A-" reflects the agency's confidence in Portugal's ability to maintain fiscal discipline and continue reducing its public debt burden, a key factor in the country's economic resilience.

7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Tourism Revenue Rebound


7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024

Portugal's tourism sector is expected to continue its strong performance in 2024, with the country's tourism revenue reaching a new record of €25 billion in 2023, up from €21.1 billion in 2022.

The sector accounts for around 15% of Portugal's GDP and is a key source of employment and exports.

In 2023, total revenue from tourism in Portugal increased by 20.4% year-on-year to reach €5.014 billion, with revenue from accommodation also growing by 21.9%.

Portugal's tourism revenue reached a new record of €25 billion in 2023, up from €1 billion in 2022, representing a remarkable 4% year-over-year increase.

The tourism sector now accounts for around 15% of Portugal's GDP, making it a crucial driver of the country's economic growth.

Revenue from accommodation in Portugal's tourism industry grew by an impressive 9% in 2023, indicating a strong recovery in the hospitality sector.

The country's lower corporate tax rates, implemented in 2022, have played a crucial role in attracting foreign investment, particularly in the tourism and hospitality sectors.

Remarkably, Portugal's unemployment rate fell to a 15-year low of 2% in 2023, with the tourism industry being a significant contributor to this job creation.

Unexpectedly, the share of household savings in Portugal's GDP declined to a 10-year low in 2023, as consumers increased their spending in the tourism and hospitality sectors, further boosting the industry's revenue.

7 Reasons Why Portugal Remains an Economic Bright Spot in 2024 - Attractive Investment Destination


Portugal's strong economic performance, robust property market, and favorable policies have made it an attractive investment destination in 2024.

The country's membership in the EU, excellent infrastructure, and growing innovation ecosystem further enhance its appeal for foreign investors and businesses.

Portugal's capital Lisbon has emerged as a hub for innovation and technology, with the city ranking among the top 5 European cities for venture capital investment in

The Portuguese property market remains robust, with residential property prices increasing by over 10% in 2023, driven by strong demand, particularly in the Lisbon and Porto metropolitan areas.

Surprisingly, despite global economic uncertainty, Portugal's unemployment rate fell to a 15-year low of 2% in 2023, largely attributed to job creation in the tourism, construction, and healthcare industries.

Portugal has managed to secure a share of the Brexit Adjustment Reserve, amounting to €813 million, which will be channeled into the country's recovery plan to further bolster investment.

The recovery plan's investments in research and development are projected to drive a 20% increase in patent applications from Portuguese entities, strengthening the country's innovation ecosystem.

Portugal's public debt ratio has been steadily declining, falling to 7% of GDP in 2023, leading to an upgrade in the country's credit ratings by S&P to 'A-'.

Surprisingly, Portugal's automotive industry experienced a 15% surge in domestic sales in 2023, bucking the regional trend of declining car purchases.

The European Commission forecasts a steady decline in Portugal's public debt-to-GDP ratio, driven by primary balance surpluses and a favorable growth-interest rate differential.

Portugal's tourism revenue reached a new record of €25 billion in 2023, up from €1 billion in 2022, accounting for around 15% of the country's GDP.

The lower corporate tax rates implemented in Portugal in 2022 have attracted a record number of foreign direct investments in 2023, particularly in the tech and renewable energy sectors.

Unexpectedly, the share of household savings in Portugal's GDP declined to a 10-year low in 2023, as consumers increased their spending in the tourism and hospitality sectors.

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