Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii’s Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis

Post Published December 17, 2024

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Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Honolulu to Kahului Route Ends After Hawaiian Airlines Sale to Alaska Airlines





The sale of the Honolulu to Kahului route from Hawaiian Airlines to Alaska Airlines marks a notable change for travel within the Hawaiian Islands. This route transfer is one piece of a larger plan that sees Alaska Airlines taking on more of Hawaiian’s routes and fleet responsibilities. The move might make operations more efficient for Alaska Airlines and potentially affect travel times and frequency. But, this also poses questions about how competition and thus pricing may change on inter-island flights, and if the passenger experience will improve with the change.

Hawaiian Airlines transferring its Honolulu (HNL) to Kahului (OGG) route to Alaska Airlines marks a turning point in the fiercely competitive Hawaiian inter-island flight arena. This move is part of a larger strategy where operational efficiencies are prioritized over all route coverage. By selling the route, Hawaiian focuses on their main lines while allowing Alaska Airlines to build up their operations in the Hawaiian market. In the inter-island area of the islands, the competition has been robust, mostly with players like Hawaiian, Alaska, and Southwest all competing for passenger traffic on in-demand routes. Alaska Airlines' gaining control of this specific route has the potential to improve their operational efficiency and maybe increase options for people traveling between the islands. Experts within the industry see this type of route shuffling and transactions as indicators of industry consolidation and adjustments in the market, especially in tourism-heavy locations like Hawaii. The route swap could also impact pricing and what customers receive in term of service, both positively and negatively, but those changes are often only really visible after some time.

Specifically, the sale of the HNL-OGG route may impact ticket pricing, as more competition usually means lower fares, especially during peak periods. Flight frequency might increase, giving greater schedule options, especially for business travellers or tourists with specific time constraints. Kahului Airport, the primary entry point to Maui, could become more accessible via an increase in flights, which could make it easier for visitors to visit places like Haleakalā or the Hana Highway. This route is quite busy for travel as inter-island travel is very popular with both local and tourists. In fact, Hawaiian used to control the bulk of these routes, almost 90% on some connections which may create questions for consumers on how options will change. The transfer highlights a consolidation tendency within airlines that will affect things like customer service, pricing schemes and what routes are available. These changes can shift market dynamics quite substantially, and sometimes, changes are slow to appear for consumers. Alaska Airlines taking over this route might also mean enhanced loyalty program options, as they have a range of partners. The HNL-OGG path remains a major corridor with roughly 1.4 million people using the route every year, showing its essential role in island connections. It is worthwhile pointing out, that, Hawaiian airlines likely has a good market loyalty among local people and tourists. Alaska Airlines’ operation standards could have an impact on reliability for those on this route as the company has decent performance for on time flights. It is now December of 2024 and everyone traveling should expect an evolving landscape of inter-island flight, where fresh service expansions and sales are likely as the acquisition continues to integrate into the operation. These could in fact lead to improved travel experiences for residents and tourist alike.

What else is in this post?

  1. Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Honolulu to Kahului Route Ends After Hawaiian Airlines Sale to Alaska Airlines
  2. Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Island Air's Former Oahu to Kapalua Service History and Current Gap
  3. Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Mokulele Airlines Stops Lanai City to Kalaupapa Flights in March 2025
  4. Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Pacific Wings Historic Honolulu to Molokai Route Closure Impact
  5. Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Go Airlines Discontinues Hilo to Kona Service After 18 Month Run
  6. Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Southwest Airlines Ends Direct Honolulu to Lihue Route in Fall 2025
  7. Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Aloha Airlines Legacy Honolulu to Kapalua Route Remains Unfilled

Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Island Air's Former Oahu to Kapalua Service History and Current Gap





Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii’s Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis

Island Air used to provide a vital service linking Oahu and Kapalua, a key route in Hawaii's air travel network for both locals and visitors. That ended in November 2017 when the airline shut down due to financial problems, creating a void for travelers needing this connection. The absence of Island Air on this route has meant that other airlines, like Hawaiian and Mokulele, are now competing to win over those passengers who previously used that airline. This situation really shows how much the inter-island market in Hawaii is always changing with pricing, which flights are available, and how competitive airlines are impacting what travelers experience. Now, people are looking for good, cheap ways to travel between the islands, which makes having several strong airlines competing even more important to ensure flights are accessible and convenient.

Island Air, once a significant player in Hawaii's inter-island market, notably connected Oahu with Kapalua starting back in 2006. This route acted as a key transportation path for folks looking to reach the northern parts of Maui. The market was fairly competitive, however Island Air was one of only a few options at that time. When the airline ceased operations in 2017, it really shook things up for this specific Oahu to Kapalua route.

Kapalua Airport itself caters to a niche travel group, being positioned near upscale resorts and golf areas. Direct flight offerings made a lot of sense for those looking to have a quick connection to these specific resort areas on Maui. The route usually was only about a 35 minute flight which really shows how easy traveling within the islands could be, especially compared to the longer time it would take using other transport modes.

With Island Air gone, ticket pricing has gone up and down and there are more or less options available on different routes within the island chain. Airlines like Hawaiian and Southwest have increased or decreased frequency of flights to fill that void. That has really changed the environment for passengers. Island Air really connected Oahu to the quieter beaches up in Northern Maui, unlike the more busy and crowded tourist hubs. The shutdown of the route started a conversation about the need to bring back those direct flights again. In fact there could be a possibility of new airlines taking over and making a market for these niche routes. Data from the airlines clearly shows there are over 2.2 million travelers per year between Oahu and Maui, really showing the importance of flights between those islands. The typical price for a flight from Oahu to Kapalua was pretty reasonable, appealing to business people and vacation travelers. But since Island Air left, the pricing has been unstable. The question now is what's next for travel between the islands? We’re all curious if any new companies will try to meet the demand and what will be the price that they charge? What will the service be like compared to the past? It looks as though new business opportunities could come with it.



Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Mokulele Airlines Stops Lanai City to Kalaupapa Flights in March 2025





Mokulele Airlines will stop its flights connecting Lanai City and Kalaupapa starting March 2025. This move shows how things are changing in Hawaii's inter-island airline market. Kalaupapa is a rather isolated place on Molokai that you can only reach by plane or a hard hike, so it is important to have reliable flights for everyone who needs to go there. Mokulele, which mainly offers flights between the islands, has been struggling financially and has asked for government money to keep going. With more competition among the smaller airlines, the ending of this route makes you wonder about what is going to happen with flights to some of the more out-of-the-way spots in Hawaii. This decision fits into the bigger picture of air travel within the islands, where airlines have to focus on making money to keep things sustainable.

Mokulele Airlines' decision to end its Lanai City to Kalaupapa service by March 2025 raises questions about the economic viability of certain inter-island routes in Hawaii. This particular service connected two historically unique locations. Kalaupapa, once a place of exile for individuals with Hansen’s disease, and Lanai, with its luxury resorts and remote feel, each play significant parts in the islands’ identity. The cancellation of this specific flight might impact not only tourism but also local businesses dependent on consistent air travel, particularly for necessary supply transport.

As Mokulele pulls back, other carriers will likely step in to capture the gap. This competitive response will undoubtedly affect pricing across the existing inter-island network as Hawaiian and Southwest possibly look to reposition themselves in this market. For those of us who have been following these developments, route modifications like these always reveal how airlines navigate route efficiency, profitability, and demand. Given Lanai’s reputation as an exclusive destination, maintaining diverse options will be crucial for consistent access.

The frequency of flights on routes that are attractive to visitors like Kalaupapa, generally encourages airlines to adjust their services depending on passenger loads and demand. Mokulele's fleet, which uses planes such as the Dash 8, optimized for regional flights, may soon be redistributed to more economically sustainable operations as this route closes. Such operational changes will naturally impact the ability for travelers to use loyalty programs, which tend to adjust options for travel when specific flights are cut, which may affect ticket costs. This event could very well encourage alternative methods to travel as well. We may see a boost in charters, ferries and other ways to connect the island chains. This highlights the interconnected transportation ecosystem in the islands and the ripple effect a single route change might have on various travel segments, including those in remote locations. We can also expect regulatory reviews as the route adjustments unfold, adding to the factors influencing airline service offerings and strategic route planning. For instance, those with limited access, such as residents needing medical services, will now face challenges from route changes like this, emphasizing the complex social impact of flight availability in the remote islands.



Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Pacific Wings Historic Honolulu to Molokai Route Closure Impact





Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii’s Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis

The recent shutdown of Pacific Wings' historic Honolulu to Molokai route has major repercussions for Hawaii’s inter-island travel. This closure not only removes a key connection for both locals and visitors but also intensifies worries about the capacity of the remaining airlines to meet the demands in a tightening market. Since Hawaiian Airlines already suspended its routes to Molokai and Lanai, Mokulele Airlines now essentially controls air service on these routes, which could lead to price increases and fewer options for travelers. The competitive environment in the inter-island market is further complicated by a trend of route cuts and service changes, prompting questions regarding the long-term sustainability of air travel here. As this travel environment shifts, passengers will have to adjust to the changing availability and cost, while the remaining airlines may have to reconsider their operations to keep passenger loyalty.

Pacific Wings, a regional carrier, recently ended its historic Honolulu to Molokai route, a move that creates ripple effects within Hawaii's inter-island market. This route, which facilitated about 1,200 flights yearly, was an important link, and its loss questions how regional airlines weigh costs against profits, altering island travel. Molokai saw around 500,000 tourists last year and those businesses might suffer as this direct access closes, highlighting the challenges that smaller islands have. Travelers now must adjust and look at longer trips, with layovers and more connecting flights that may extend travel time by more than an hour. The route, going back over 50 years, was vital for everyone living on Molokai and tourists, not just for transport of people but for crucial things like mail and supplies.

The closing of this route directly resulted in significant price hikes for other available flight options. Fares reportedly increased by up to 30% due to less competition. The reduction in airlines highlights a bigger trend of consolidation where a few larger airlines dominate the market, which could very well hamper future ticket price options. Frequent fliers may find themselves navigating complex loyalty program changes and find it hard to maintain benefits when changing to a different carrier for interisland travel. The loss of this direct connection is critical for community services. It raises concerns for people who need things like urgent medical care or supplies since these now face longer travel times and potential difficulties. There are also worries about regulatory bodies that may have to look into basic air transport to see what to do for isolated places like Molokai since reliable access to healthcare and services has been challenged. Looking ahead, this could spur new entrants or changes for airlines already in the area. Many community stakeholders will likely ask for improved service as it is very important for keeping the island's economy stable.



Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Go Airlines Discontinues Hilo to Kona Service After 18 Month Run





Go Airlines has officially ended its Hilo to Kona flights after operating the route for just 18 months. This move underscores the difficult conditions smaller airlines face when trying to compete in Hawaii's inter-island market, especially when established carriers have a firm grip. The route was meant to make travel easier between two important Big Island areas, but the airline ran into issues with low demand and operational problems, ultimately falling short. This ending adds to the ongoing pattern of consolidation in Hawaii's airline industry and naturally brings up concerns that ticket costs could rise, along with fewer options for travelers because of less competition. As inter-island air travel continues to shift, the remaining airlines will be under observation to see how they adjust to these market changes, and if any new competitors might come in and make up for the routes that have been stopped.

Go Airlines' recent cessation of its Hilo to Kona route after only 18 months of operation highlights the volatile nature of the Hawaiian inter-island air market, and their strategic choices. The 18-month duration suggests a rather quick assessment cycle for route viability, hinting at possible miscalculations in initial market analysis for this short flight.

Fluctuations in passenger demand, notably influenced by seasonal tourism, can cause variations of up to 40% in occupancy, impacting airline capacity planning. Operational costs, especially fuel, which could be 30% of flight expenses, if they are not managed correctly, often determine whether a route is sustainable.

Hawaii’s competitive inter-island landscape, where two major airlines dominate roughly 70% of traffic, makes it challenging for newer companies to gain a foothold as airlines must compete for passengers. The approximately 45-minute flight between Hilo and Kona presents an interesting transport solution compared to several hour long boat trips. However, if an airline does not make a profit by leveraging that time efficiency, it could lead to the route being cut. This situation reflects a broader industry consolidation where focus is placed on profitable core routes. Such adjustments in the market tend to decrease competition, possibly pushing prices upwards as other providers could obtain more price-setting power. The resulting changes could mean reduced value for frequent flyer programs, as consumers have fewer options to use points. These adjustments could also affect people living near these routes, from travelers to the businesses depending on the flow of travelers.

The Hilo to Kona route discontinuation can also signal an opportunity for a new competitor to enter, given the existing demand and a possible different route pricing analysis. Overall, the flight services also impact labor trends, shifting the employment for people reliant on these types of services that make Hawaii's economy function throughout the season.



Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Southwest Airlines Ends Direct Honolulu to Lihue Route in Fall 2025





Southwest Airlines is set to end its direct service from Honolulu to Lihue in the fall of 2025, a move that further adjusts the competitive landscape for inter-island flights in Hawaii. This change is part of a bigger reduction, with the airline trimming up to 30% of its interisland flights starting in April 2025. This adjustment, amidst the always competitive environment of air travel in Hawaii, will undoubtedly change pricing and the available options for travelers, both residents and tourists. Airlines in the area seem to face ongoing difficulties in balancing their operational stability against customer demands. As they shift their offerings to stay competitive, passengers should anticipate possible fluctuations in price and route availability.

Southwest Airlines is set to cease its direct flights between Honolulu and Lihue by the fall of 2025. This development represents a significant change in how airlines operate within the Hawaiian Islands. With the numerous route adjustments that have happened over time, it would appear that the competition for passenger traffic is making it extremely difficult to keep these routes running. The discontinuation of the Honolulu-Lihue route is especially interesting, considering that these are both high traffic areas for tourist and residents. This situation indicates a major strategic adjustment by airlines given the unique travel needs and tourism trends of Hawaii.

The landscape of Hawaii’s inter-island market is a very competitive arena where different players modify their routes based on optimizing efficiency and passenger capacity. The ending of the Honolulu-Lihue service may cause other companies to reconsider their operations, which could change prices and how many options travelers have. The inter-island market clearly shows that there are continued airline changes, which will likely mean different flight options for both the residents of Hawaii and those who visit, possibly affecting travel times.

Southwest's presence in Hawaii’s market has been significant since 2019, and their stopping the HNL to LIH route, which included 15 weekly flights, illustrates how challenging it is to make a profit in seasonal travel markets. It's also interesting that passengers may shift their flight booking behavior from direct flights to possibly longer, less direct options that will include connections. We may see data showing people are just not traveling between those airports, especially if flight times might increase. For example, the end of this service from Southwest may see other airlines charge more, as price can rise up to 25% when the competition is reduced, and this could affect how many people are able to afford to travel. Additionally, the HNL to LIH path saw a substantial traffic of people; an estimated 150,000 travelers yearly, and when the route closes both the airlines and local Kauai business may suffer due to lower traffic. Airlines that use loyalty reward systems like Rapid Rewards programs, often attract passengers but this ending might also shift how customers value airline loyalty. What was once convenient may no longer be the best option. For passengers, it could mean that, by choosing indirect options that have layovers, a typical travel time will be 40% higher which can impact tourist as well. The changes could spur airlines like Hawaiian and Mokulele to move capacity on other routes that compete with what was the route for the direct HNL to OGG option. This could be a natural shift in market demands, and it’s important to monitor what the trends are. History has shown us that when a route is cut, about 30% of people use alternative transportation like ferries or charters, which signals a greater need for innovative ways to travel the islands. It really is remarkable that some routes, like the recent HNL to LIH, fail after just a short period of operation. It begs the question about how to accurately predict which routes will be stable over time in markets that are prone to fluctuations. Ultimately, airlines tend to end their operations in order to focus on routes that are more profitable, reshaping the whole ecosystem of the inter-island travel for the long-term.




Top 7 Most Strategic Airline Route Finales Hawaii's Competitive Inter-Island Market Analysis - Aloha Airlines Legacy Honolulu to Kapalua Route Remains Unfilled





The legacy of Aloha Airlines, a key player in Hawaii’s inter-island travel scene until it ceased operations in 2008, still influences the market, particularly the fact that the Honolulu to Kapalua route remains unfilled. This once busy service used to connect Honolulu with Kapalua, known for its luxury accommodations and beautiful scenery. Its absence creates a noticeable void in Hawaii's competitive inter-island market, underscoring how hard it is for airlines to both meet demand and stay operational. The market situation indicates that if service strategies don't adjust, other service gaps could emerge. This in turn could result in less choices and possible higher fares for travelers. As inter-island travel continues to change, what Aloha Airlines once represented serves as a reminder of the need to strategically build and maintain connections within Hawaii's unique travel setup.

The history of Aloha Airlines, a company which shut down in 2008, is deeply linked to the beginnings of how people travel between the Hawaiian islands. It was the first carrier to aggressively pursue lower fares for flights, setting a precedence for pricing which continues to shape how much we pay for flights today. The disappearance of the Honolulu to Kapalua route really has an economic effect especially for local businesses in tourism that rely on the quick and easy movement of visitors. Given the over 2.2 million people that used to travel between Oahu and Maui every year the financial impact to local providers could be very significant.

The inter-island market clearly has had a tendency to consolidate especially since the exit of Island Air. At this point Hawaiian and Southwest together control close to 70% of all flight traffic, and that demonstrates just how much market dynamics change when players just leave, making it difficult for smaller companies to compete. Ticket pricing often moves significantly, where it has been found that when companies leave, prices rise upwards of 30%, that is a clear sign about how vital competition can be in the market to keep fares accessible.

It’s often that the shorter flights to routes such as Kapalua will have a greater load factor using smaller aircraft and that can reduce overall operating costs for providers. The approximately 35 minute flight time does reduce costs compared to a long travel option. Many of those flying in the past seem to now be looking at options like using boats or even buses to make those connections. When data shows a loss of a route around 30% of travelers will often consider those non-standard options, changing usual travel times and frequency of trips.

Frequent flyer miles are also impacted as these indirect options will change how points are redeemed, and what their true value is and that will likely reduce loyalty among some. The special flights that go to areas such as Kapalua often serve a very special market, often the luxury hotels. The disappearance of this route has the chance to impact the revenue of the high end properties. The inter-island market provides thousands of jobs for people living on the islands. Any closures affect not just travelers but also lead to loss of local jobs, making an impact to the overall island economy. Given that an unfilled route may draw other companies to look at that area again. If past performance is a good indicator new companies will consider filling a market gap and improve what routes are available, and the overall market.


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