The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland’s Budget Airline Collapse in 2019

Post Published February 14, 2025

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The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Failed Merger Talks With Icelandair Created Market Uncertainty and Passenger Decline





The collapse of merger discussions with Icelandair in 2019 proved to be a critical turning point, not just for WOW Air, but for the stability of the Icelandic aviation sector itself. The collapse of these talks immediately eroded passenger trust, resulting in a noticeable downturn in bookings that intensified the airline’s existing financial woes. Already contending with fierce competition and escalating operational expenses, WOW Air found itself in an even more precarious position. The failed merger exposed the fragility of Iceland's tourism economy, which had become heavily reliant on WOW Air's budget fares to fuel growth. The subsequent fallout caused widespread travel disruptions, stranding numerous travelers, and served as a stark warning regarding the inherent risks of unchecked growth within the low-cost airline model. Ultimately, this episode significantly altered the competitive dynamics of Iceland's airline industry, forcing a reassessment of strategies among surviving carriers.
Initial discussions about a merger with Icelandair were positioned as a strategic move to bolster the Icelandic aviation sector. However, when negotiations abruptly ceased, it triggered immediate instability. Market sentiment became distinctly anxious. There was a noticeable increase in perceived risk surrounding WOW Air. Consequently, passenger bookings demonstrably softened as travelers, understandably, shifted towards airlines considered to be more secure. For low-cost carriers, operational dependability and public trust in their financial standing are paramount. The failed merger wasn’t just a missed opportunity for consolidation; it quickly evolved into a key event that actively undermined existing faith in WOW Air

What else is in this post?

  1. The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Failed Merger Talks With Icelandair Created Market Uncertainty and Passenger Decline
  2. The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Operating Costs Increased 50% When Fuel Prices Spiked in 2018
  3. The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Low Load Factors on Asian Routes Drained Cash Reserves in Late 2018
  4. The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Aircraft Leasing Companies Demanded Higher Rates Due to Financial Instability
  5. The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Competition From Norwegian Air on North Atlantic Routes Cut Profit Margins
  6. The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Last-Minute Investment Deal With Indigo Partners Fell Through in March 2019

The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Operating Costs Increased 50% When Fuel Prices Spiked in 2018





The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland’s Budget Airline Collapse in 2019

In 2018, the aviation industry experienced considerable instability as jet fuel prices dramatically increased. For airlines like WOW Air, this translated to a staggering 50% surge in operating costs. This sudden elevation in expenses presented a harsh reality for all carriers, considering fuel already represented a significant portion, around 22%, of their expenditure. Budget airlines, known for their tight financial margins, were especially susceptible to these fuel fluctuations. The immediate response across the industry was to raise ticket prices and for some, to reconsider flight schedules and network size. Ultimately, these escalating fuel costs were another heavy weight on WOW Air’s already strained finances, contributing to its downfall in 2019, alongside existing debt and intense competition. Today’s travelers are still facing the consequences of such market volatility through higher fares, and these past events serve as a persistent reminder in the ever-changing landscape of air travel.



The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Low Load Factors on Asian Routes Drained Cash Reserves in Late 2018





Low occupancy rates became a serious problem for numerous airlines operating routes to and from Asia in late 2018. This translated directly to rapidly shrinking cash reserves. Airlines across the board saw a worrying number of empty seats, especially on these long-haul services. Faced with stiff competition in the Asian market and a noticeable dip in passenger numbers, carriers resorted to drastic price cuts to try and boost bookings. However, even deeply discounted fares struggled to fill planes. Meanwhile, the relentless climb of operational expenses showed no sign of slowing, further squeezing already thin margins. This toxic combination of low demand and high costs created a perilous situation, especially for budget-focused airlines. The financial fragility exposed by these low load factors in Asia served as an early warning sign of deeper troubles within the industry, foreshadowing the kind of collapse that would soon be dramatically illustrated by the demise of WOW Air.
Another factor placing immense pressure on airline finances in late 2018 was the performance of Asian routes. For many carriers venturing into this market, passenger numbers fell well below projections. Airlines depend on filling a high percentage of seats to achieve profitability, and on these Asian routes, the number of empty seats became a significant problem. It appears demand simply did not meet the capacity offered. While Southeast Asia experienced passenger growth the previous year, this growth didn’t translate into universally high load factors across all airlines or routes, especially by the end of 2018.

The consequences of these low passenger numbers were direct and financially damaging. Operating an aircraft, particularly on long-haul routes to Asia, incurs substantial costs, irrespective of whether the plane is full or half-empty. Fuel consumption, crew expenses, and landing charges remain largely constant. With significantly fewer fares coming in than anticipated on these routes, cash reserves began to dwindle quickly. For airlines already operating on tight margins, this kind of underperformance could rapidly destabilize their financial situation. It raises questions about the assumptions made regarding demand forecasting and route profitability when these Asian expansions were initially planned. Perhaps the competitive landscape in Asia was underestimated, or maybe shifts in passenger preferences impacted these routes more acutely than foreseen. Whatever the precise cause, the resulting low load factors on Asian routes undeniably placed a further burden on airline finances during this critical period.


The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Aircraft Leasing Companies Demanded Higher Rates Due to Financial Instability





The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland’s Budget Airline Collapse in 2019

Aircraft lessors are now charging airlines significantly more to rent planes. These price hikes, averaging 25 to 30 percent, are a direct consequence of the ongoing precarious financial state of many airlines globally. The fundamental issue is straightforward: demand for aircraft is outstripping the available supply. This shortage is particularly acute for popular and relatively newer models like the Boeing 737-800 and Airbus A320. The monthly rental costs for these workhorse planes have jumped dramatically, in some instances by as much as 40 percent in just over a year. Further compounding the problem is that aircraft manufacturers are struggling to meet their delivery schedules. Production delays are becoming increasingly common, meaning the anticipated increase in aircraft availability is simply not materializing quickly enough. Airlines, already operating in a notoriously volatile sector, are now faced with escalating leasing expenses. This added cost pressure will inevitably force some carriers to reassess their financial planning. Ultimately, passengers may end up bearing some of this burden, as airlines try to balance rising costs with competitive fares. This situation highlights the delicate economic balance within air travel and how quickly external factors can impact airline stability.



The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Competition From Norwegian Air on North Atlantic Routes Cut Profit Margins





Norwegian Air’s arrival on the North Atlantic routes caused significant turbulence for airlines trying to make money on these flights. Their strategy of super low fares forced everyone else to drop prices too, which squeezed already thin profits. For carriers like WOW Air, which were already facing financial headwinds, this extra competition was very damaging. Norwegian’s business approach, marked by rapid expansion and piling up debt while aiming for minimal profit per seat, proved difficult to sustain. This aggressive competition contributed to WOW Air’s eventual failure in 2019 and showed just how risky the budget airline business can be when things get tight. Norwegian Air eventually pulled back from long-haul routes, changing the game once again for those airlines still flying across the Atlantic.



The Rise and Fall of WOW Air 7 Critical Factors That Led to Iceland's Budget Airline Collapse in 2019 - Last-Minute Investment Deal With Indigo Partners Fell Through in March 2019






A last-ditch effort to shore up WOW Air's precarious finances through an investment from Indigo Partners, a private equity group with a history of backing budget airlines, ultimately collapsed in March of 2019. This breakdown in negotiations was a major setback for the Icelandic carrier, which desperately needed financial reinforcement to

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